PflugervilleSingle-Family Homes Market Snapshot
Balanced, With the Scale Tipping Toward Buyers.
Pflugerville’s single-family market cooled in July 2026. Closed sales fell while active inventory kept climbing, pushing months of inventory to 5.01 and absorption down to 19.96%. Homes took longer to sell and sellers paid noticeably more in concessions, yet the median closed price still edged up and buyers paid a slightly stronger percentage of list. The market remains balanced, but it is now leaning toward buyers.
At a Glance
- Closed Sales107▼ -12.30% MoM
- Closed Median$388,000▲ +1.11% MoM
- Close-to-List98.23%▲ +0.12 pts
- Closed Avg DOM56.50▼ Slower: +23.52%
- Months of Inventory5.01▼ +16.78% MoM
- Seller Concessions$6,164▼ +35.68% MoM
July 2026 Market Snapshot
Pricing & Time on Market
Absorption Rate
107 closed of 536 active single-family listings in July.
Down from June (23.33%) as inventory grew and closings slowed.
Listing Activity
Inventory Builds, Velocity Slows.
Month-Over-Month
Market Conditions Scale
Months of InventoryAt 5.01 months of inventory, Pflugerville remains in the balanced zone but has shifted toward the buyer side — more choice, more negotiating room, and less urgency.
At 5.01 months of inventory, Pflugerville stays inside the balanced 3–6 month band in July 2026, but it has moved toward the buyer end of that range. Buyers gain choice and negotiating room; sellers need sharp pricing.
The 3 Fastest-Moving Subdivisions
Ranked by average days on market for homes closed in July 2026. When you see numbers this low, it usually means pricing, staging, and marketing were dialed in from day one.
Windermere Ph A Sec 01
Falcon Pointe Sec 6A
Spring Trails Ph 01
July vs. June: What Actually Changed.
| Metric | June | July | Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Closed Sales | 122 | 107 | -12.30% | |
| Active Listings | 523 | 536 | +2.49% | |
| Pending | 88 | 84 | -4.55% | |
| Under Contract | 61 | 58 | -4.92% | |
| Expired | 8 | 19 | +137.50% | |
| Withdrawn | 33 | 35 | +6.06% | |
| Homes without HOA | 61 | 71 | +16.39% | |
| Priced below $300k | 37 | 44 | +18.92% | |
| Closed Median Price | $383,748 | $388,000 | +1.11% | |
| Closed Average Price | $430,484 | $397,373 | -7.69% | |
| Avg $ / Closed Sq Ft | $188.12 | $177.90 | -5.43% | |
| Seller-Paid Closing Costs | $4,543 | $6,164 | +35.68% | |
| Close-to-List % | 98.11% | 98.23% | +0.12% | |
| Active Median Price | $399,000 | $399,900 | +0.23% | |
| Active Average Price | $441,442 | $443,398 | +0.44% | |
| Pending Median Price | $381,860 | $367,999 | -3.63% | |
| Pending Average Price | $418,893 | $402,462 | -3.92% | |
| Closed Avg DOM | 45.74 | 56.50 | +23.52% | |
| Active Avg DOM | 68.99 | 71.10 | +3.06% | |
| Months of Inventory | 4.29 | 5.01 | +16.78% | |
| Absorption Rate | 23.33% | 19.96% | -14.44% |
Noteworthy Market Trends
Volume Cools
Closed sales fell 12.30% to 107 while active listings climbed to 536 — supply grew as demand eased.
Inventory Builds
Months of inventory rose to 5.01 and absorption slipped to 19.96%, the clearest shift toward buyers this year.
Slower Sales
Closed homes averaged 56.50 days on market, up 23.52% from June, and active listings sat 71.10 days on average.
More Concessions
Seller-paid buyer closing costs jumped ~36% to $6,164 — sellers are buying down the deal to get to closing.
Prices Hold
Closed median rose to $388,000 and close-to-list improved to 98.23%, even as average price and $/sq ft slipped on mix.
Listings Expire
Expired listings more than doubled to 19 and withdrawals rose to 35 — overpriced homes are being rejected.
Looking Ahead: A Buyer-Leaning August.
Based on the July data, Pflugerville is likely to stay a Balanced Market leaning toward buyers next month.
Why
- Inventory rose to 5.01 months while absorption fell to 19.96%.
- Closed sales declined and days on market lengthened.
- Pending and under-contract counts both slipped, so August closings have little momentum behind them.
- Rising expired and withdrawn listings signal price resistance.
Expectations for August
- Months of inventory likely holds near 5 months or drifts higher.
- Concessions should stay elevated as sellers compete for fewer buyers.
- Well-priced, move-in-ready homes will still sell quickly; overpriced homes will sit.
- Buyers gain leverage on price, terms, and repairs heading into fall.
Disclaimer: My predictions are bar any unforeseen events causing outliers — and it’s possible my crystal ball may not be functioning properly.
Interested in Your Neighborhood?
Lauren A. Petty, REALTOR®
I’m a professional analyst and project manager now a REALTOR®, serving the information without sales-talk. That’s exactly how I support buyers and sellers: strategy and calm so you can make clear decisions.
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